NHS Performance Indicators : July 2000
ANNEX A Standardisation Methodology

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HA Level Indicators Data Table Specification

All indicators, where possible, use the 3 most recently available sets of data; e.g. HES based indicators use 1998-99, 1997-98 and 1996-97.

In the June 1999 High Level Performance Indicator (HLPI) and Clinical Indicator (CI) publications, direct standardisation was used to age standardise with the European standard population (ESP) as the standard. The indicators were not standardised for sex.

In this year’s Performance Indicators publication, there are three changes to the method used for standardisation:

  1. Indirect standardisation is used instead of direct standardisation, and the ratios (and their confidence intervals) are then converted into absolute rates.
  2. The indicators are standardised for age and sex, not just age.
  3. For each indicator, the reference population used for standardisation will be the appropriate relevant population for that indicator, as opposed to the ESP. For the former HLPIs, this will be the actual HA populations. For the former CIs, hospital admissions (as appropriate for each indicator) for both the HAs and Trusts.

These changes bring the method of standardisation in line with that used for the Scottish and Welsh clinical indicators.

REASONS FOR CHANGE

The main reasons behind the change in standardisation methodology are:


 

Note – The "Our Healthier Nation" indicators in Area 1 (1iv, 1v, 1vi, 1vii and 1viii) remain directly age- standardised to the European Standard Population in line with OHN policy. The use of the European Standard Population allows the possibility of European comparisons for these indicators.

METHOD

The age and sex specific rates for England are applied to the Health Authority/Trust age and sex specific populations, to generate the numbers of events (by age and sex) that would be expected in the Health Authority/Trust if it had the same rates as England.

The ratio of the total of these expected events to the total observed events for the Health Authority/Trust gives the indirectly standardised ratio for the Health Authority/Trust. The ratios are then converted into rates by multiplying them by the crude rate for England. The age groups used in the standardisation process are as follows:

<1, 1-4, 5-9, 10-14, …, 85+.

For the CIs, the age and sex specific rates for England for each indicator for each year are used as the reference for standardisation.

For example, for CI 1 the age and sex specific perioperative mortality rates for England in 1998-99 are applied to the age and sex specific numbers of inpatient spells with an operative procedure in each Health Authority/Trust in 1998-99 to obtain the number of "expected" deaths. For CI 4 the age and sex specific readmission rates for England are applied to the age and sex specific numbers of admissions in each Health Authority/Trust to obtain the number of "expected" readmissions. And so on for the other indicators.

NOTES:

  1. Various age groups are used for the HLPIs and CIs (all ages, 0-15, 15-39, 35-74, 50+, 65+). The observed and expected values used to calculate the ratios (see the worked example below) relate to the age group as appropriate for each indicator.

  2.  
  3. In the case of the HLPIs, the standard population from which average occurrence rates are calculated will be the actual England population. To obtain a fixed base to enable comparisons overtime, ONS mid-year resident population estimates for 1998 by HAs (April 1999 boundaries) along with England occurrences for that indicator for 1998/99 will be used to calculate the expected number of events for each HA during the standardisation of all 3 years of data. In practice, this means using mid 1998 populations and 1998/99 occurrences in the standardisation of 1996/97, 1997/98 and 1998/99 data.

  4.  
  5. Unlike the HLPIs that measure population-based risk, the CIs (Health Authorities and Trusts) are hospital population based and not general population based. For CIs the numerators and denominators are therefore the patient-specific populations as appropriate for each indicator (see para 4). The numerators and denominators for England, Health Authorities and Trusts used in the standardisation process will therefore vary from indicator to indicator.

  6.  
  7. Unlike HLPIs, CIs are standardised within an individual year (1996/97, 1997/98, 1998/99). This means that the standardised cannot be compared across time, but can be compared within an individual year. The calculations were carried out in this way due to concerns about the data quality of earlier years.

  8.  

     

     

  9. The CIs are as follows:

 

Worked examples are given below for an HLPI and a CI.

 

HLPIs: Worked Example

Consider the following data for HLPI 3vi, component 1 for HA X:

Age range

HA asthma admissions, x(j)

HA population, n(j)

England asthma admissions, xs(j)

England population, ns(j)

j

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

0

15

7

2453

2014

1790

659

306982

292343

1-4

89

45

9344

9112

11167

5643

1269671

1205375

5-9

35

29

11951

12045

4294

2376

1672504

1591836

10-14

20

19

9971

9765

2682

2177

1612712

1528465

15-19

4

17

10276

9943

1180

2246

1558288

1474536

20-24

2

11

11080

11201

1045

2213

1494077

1427002

25-29

4

9

14589

13943

1256

2300

1890723

1794013

30-34

12

11

16778

15643

1200

2188

2087414

1992725

35-39

10

29

15032

14157

931

1971

1948348

1878082

40-44

6

11

12834

11693

855

1714

1655145

1635575

45-49

3

8

10907

11219

872

1728

1606494

1603542

50-54

8

12

10210

10845

907

1545

1647615

1653993

55-59

8

7

6995

9176

832

1455

1265270

1282857

60-64

4

9

7234

7634

818

1264

1150518

1189447

65-69

2

11

5978

7126

782

1331

1032916

1140345

70-74

2

15

4003

5432

657

1116

880282

1073878

75-79

3

5

3793

5783

458

959

683480

987552

80-84

8

2

1632

3829

299

673

361739

661470

85+

2

4

1732

3561

133

492

253860

703508

Total

237

261

166792

174121

32158

34050

24378038

25116544

 

Expected asthma admissions are then calculated for each sex and age group using the formula:

Expected no. admissions =

where n(j) = population in age group j in HA X

xs(j) = number of occurrences in age group j in the standard population

ns(j) = population in age group j in the standard population

So for age 0, expected no. male admissions = 2453*(1790/306982)

= 14.3

expected no. female admissions = 2014*(659/292343)

= 4.5

The full set of expected admissions is shown in the table overleaf:

 

Age range

Expected admissions

e(j)

j

Male

Female

0

14.3

4.5

1-4

82.2

42.7

5-9

30.7

18.0

10-14

16.6

13.9

15-19

7.8

15.1

20-24

7.7

17.4

25-29

9.7

17.9

30-34

9.6

17.2

35-39

7.2

14.9

40-44

6.6

12.3

45-49

5.9

12.1

50-54

5.6

10.1

55-59

4.6

10.4

60-64

5.1

8.1

65-69

4.5

8.3

70-74

3.0

5.6

75-79

2.5

5.6

80-84

1.3

3.9

85+

0.9

2.5

Total

226.0

240.5

The standardised ratio (SR) for persons is then calculated as:

SR = =

Where x(j) = number of observed occurrences in age group j for HA X

e(j) = number of expected occurrences in age group j for HA X

So in the example, SR = (237+261)/(226.0+240.5)

= 1.068

 

The final indicator value is then produced by multiplying through by the England crude rate per 100,000:

indicator value = SR * England crude rate

So in the example, England crude rate = ((32158+34050)/(24378038+25116544))*100000

= 133.8

Hence indicator value per 100,000 = 1.068 * 133.8

= 142.9

This crude rate multiplication is used in both the Scottish and Welsh clinical indicators and is done in order to produce a more useable and interpretable final value.

(Note – For the HLPIs for all 3 years worth of data (1996/97, 1997/98 and 1998/99) the standardised ratio will be multiplied through by the crude rate for England for 1998/99.)

CIs: Worked Example

Consider the following data for CI 2 (rates of deaths in hospital within 30 days of emergency admission with hip fracture) for patients aged 65 and over:

 

 

 

Age range

HA/Trust X

England

Numerator

Denominator

Numerator

Denominator

Denom spells where patient dies <30 days x(j)

Spells with emer admission for hip fracture n(j)

Denom spells where patient dies <30 days xs(j)

Spells with emer admission for hip fracture ns(j)

j

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

5

8

1-4

0

0

0

0

0

1

33

32

5-9

0

0

0

0

0

0

30

23

10-14

0

0

0

1

0

0

85

38

15-19

0

0

1

1

0

0

66

8

20-24

0

0

0

3

0

0

69

13

25-29

0

0

1

1

0

1

82

29

30-34

0

0

0

0

0

1

97

29

35-39

0

0

3

0

2

0

133

46

40-44

0

0

2

1

1

1

138

70

45-49

0

0

2

0

1

0

190

115

50-54

0

0

1

2

7

4

267

313

55-59

0

0

4

4

11

5

354

425

60-64

0

0

6

14

8

13

439

813

65-69

0

1

9

33

24

45

695

1657

70-74

0

1

10

35

66

133

1098

3315

75-79

0

5

20

76

197

330

1778

6514

80-84

6

10

22

93

270

531

1877

8451

85+

8

23

34

172

635

1861

2949

16782

Total

14

40

115

436

1222

2926

10385

38681

Total 65+

14

40

95

409

1192

2900

8397

36719

Expected hip fracture admissions are calculated for each sex and age group using the formula:

Expected no. admissions =

n(j) = population in age group j in HA/Trust X

xs(j) = number of occurrences in age group j in the standard population

ns(j) = population in age group j in the standard population

So for age 80-84, expected no. male admissions = 22*(270/1877)

= 3.16

expected no. female admissions = 93*(531/8451)

= 5.84

The full set of expected admissions is shown in the table overleaf:

 

 

Age range

HA/Trust X

Expected admissions

e(j)

j

Male

Female

0

0.00

0.00

1-4

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

0.00

10-14

0.00

0.00

15-19

0.00

0.00

20-24

0.00

0.00

25-29

0.00

0.03

30-34

0.00

0.00

35-39

0.05

0.00

40-44

0.01

0.01

45-49

0.01

0.00

50-54

0.03

0.03

55-59

0.12

0.05

60-64

0.11

0.22

65-69

0.31

0.90

70-74

0.60

1.40

75-79

2.22

3.85

80-84

3.16

5.84

85+

7.32

19.07

Total

13.94

31.41

Total 65+

13.61

31.07

The standardised ratio (SR) for persons aged 65 and over is then calculated as:

SR = =

Where x(65+) = number of observed occurrences in age group 65+ for HA/Trust X

e(65+) = number of expected occurrences in age group 65+ for HA/Trust X

So in the example, SR = (14+40)/(13.61+31.07)

= 1.2086

The final indicator value is then produced by multiplying through by the England crude rate per 100,000:

indicator value = SR * England crude rate

So in the example, England crude rate = ((1192+2900)/(8397+36719))*100000

= 9069.95

Hence indicator value per 100,000 = 1.2086*9069.95

= 10961.9

This crude rate multiplication is used in both the Scottish and Welsh clinical indicators and is done in order to produce a more useable and interpretable final value.

Confidence Intervals

The lower limits (LL) and upper limits (UL) for the SMR are obtained prior to multiplying through by the crude rate. By exploiting the general relationship between confidence limits and test statistics, the limits may be found by solution of equations involving Poisson probabilities, for which Byar’s approximation is sufficiently accurate. For a 95% confidence interval, Byar’s approximation gives:

LL = * 100 *(1 - - )^3

UL = * 100 * (1 - + )^3

where x is the observed number of events and e is the expected number of events.


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Last updated July 2000.